+EV betting card
Every model pick ranked by expected value at the best available price. EV is per the model — not a guarantee. Not betting advice.
0 +EV plays — 2026-09-18
EV = model edge + line-shop gainNo +EV plays on the board right now. That's the honest default — the market is efficient most days. Check back after the next pull.
EV splits into Model (edge betting at fair — the model genuinely liking the side) and Shop (extra from the best price beating fair). A green ● marks a quality play: model and price agree and the edge clears 2%. ⚠ flags an unusually large EV (>15%) that is almost always a stale line — verify it before trusting it. Proj% is regressed toward the sharp market (30% model on ML, 20% on totals); CLV is still the real long-run judge.