27 +EV plays — 2026-11-01 · 18 worth playing
EV = model edge + line-shop gain| Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Best price | Proj% | Mkt% | Model | Shop | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ● | Spread | Vikings +3 | +112ProphetX | 54% | 47% | +13.6% | +0.0% | +13.6% | |
| ● | Spread | Bengals -12.5 | -108NoVig | 59% | 52% | +12.9% | +0.0% | +12.9% | |
| ● | ML | -120NoVig | 61% | 55% | +11.2% | 0.0% | +11.2% | ||
| ● | Spread | Steelers -3.5 | +100Kalshi | 55% | 50% | +9.8% | +0.0% | +9.8% | |
| ● | Spread | Bills -3 | -105ProphetX | 56% | 51% | +9.2% | -0.0% | +9.2% | |
| ● | ML | -160NoVig | 67% | 62% | +8.6% | 0.0% | +8.6% | ||
| ● | Spread | Buccaneers -2.5 | +104Kalshi | 53% | 49% | +7.4% | -0.0% | +7.4% | |
| ● | Total | over 221.5 | +108Kalshi | 51% | 48% | +6.8% | +0.0% | +6.8% | |
| ● | Spread | Chargers +6.5 | +101ProphetX | 53% | 50% | +6.6% | -0.0% | +6.6% | |
| ● | ML | -184ProphetX | 69% | 65% | +6.1% | 0.0% | +6.1% | ||
| ● | ML | -117Kalshi | 57% | 54% | +5.7% | +0.0% | +5.7% | ||
| ● | ML | +102ProphetX | 52% | 50% | +5.2% | 0.0% | +5.2% | ||
| ● | ML | -669Kalshi | 90% | 87% | +3.4% | 0.0% | +3.4% | ||
| ● | Spread | Cowboys -7 | -105ProphetX | 53% | 51% | +3.3% | +0.0% | +3.3% | |
| ● | Spread | Jets -1.5 | -104Kalshi | 53% | 51% | +3.0% | +0.0% | +3.0% | |
| ● | ML | -133Kalshi | 59% | 57% | +2.7% | 0.0% | +2.7% | ||
| ● | Total | under 227.5 | -102Pinnacle | 52% | 50% | +2.5% | +0.0% | +2.5% | |
| ● | Total | under 6.5 | +104Kalshi | 50% | 49% | +2.4% | 0.0% | +2.4% | |
| ML | -290ProphetX | 76% | 74% | +2.0% | +0.0% | +2.0% | |||
| ML | -426Kalshi | 82% | 81% | +1.4% | +0.0% | +1.4% | |||
| ML | -264NoVig | 73% | 73% | +1.2% | 0.0% | +1.2% | |||
| ML | -121ProphetX | 55% | 55% | +1.2% | 0.0% | +1.2% | |||
| Total | under 222.5 | +100Kalshi | 51% | 50% | +1.0% | +0.0% | +1.0% | ||
| Total | over 5.5 | -122Kalshi | 55% | 55% | +0.6% | -0.0% | +0.6% | ||
| Total | under 6.5 | -122NoVig | 55% | 55% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +0.3% | ||
| ML | -305DraftKings | 76% | 75% | +0.3% | 0.0% | +0.3% | |||
| Spread | Patriots -7 | -103Caesars | 51% | 51% | +0.2% | -0.0% | +0.2% |