Raiders
Elo 1400 · #28 · 3-4
@
Sun, Nov 1, 12:00 PM CT
Final 38–33
Jets
Elo 1365 · #31 · 2-5
Kirk Cousins vs Geno Smith
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
52°F · Clear
Wind 2 mph
Power edge
Jets by 0.5 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+1.9 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 57% · Market 54%
RaidersElo
1400
Rank
#28
Record
3-4
Point diff -14
JetsElo
1365
Rank
#31
Record
2-5
Point diff -13
Win probability — Jets
Market53.8%
Model57.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadJets -1.5 -104Kalshi+3.0% EV
MoneylineJets -117Kalshi
Starting quarterbacks
Kirk Cousins
Raiders · QBQB Elo
+19
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
27.1
Games
40
passing · 7g
1,877 yds · 16-5 TD-INT · 7.3 Y/A · 63% comp
Geno Smith
Jets · QBQB Elo
+31
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
31.1
Games
50
passing · 7g
1,623 yds · 10-2 TD-INT · 7.8 Y/A · 70% comp
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.
Injuries
Raiders injuriesPatrick Johnson · DE · Out
Stinger
Jackson Powers-Johnson · G · Questionable
Back
Carter Runyon · TE · Out
Foot
Jack Bech · WR · Questionable
Forearm
Jets injuriesJoseph Ossai · DE · Out
Ankle
Dylan Parham · G · Questionable
Knee
Max Mitchell · T · Out
Concussion
Breece Hall · RB · Questionable
Quadricep
T'Vondre Sweat · DT · Out
Knee
David Bailey · DE · Doubtful
Groin