Ravens
Elo 1520 · #15 · 4-3
@
Sun, Nov 1, 12:00 PM CT
Final 10–36
Bills
Elo 1649 · #1 · 5-1
Lamar Jackson vs Josh Allen
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
70°F · Clear
Wind 9 mph
Power edge
Bills by 7.1 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+1.9 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 67% · Market 61%
RavensElo
1520
Rank
#15
Record
4-3
Point diff +2
BillsElo
1649
Rank
#1
Record
5-1
Point diff +26
Win probability — Bills
Market60.9%
Model66.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadBills -3 -105ProphetX+9.2% EV
MoneylineBills -160NoVig
Starting quarterbacks
Lamar Jackson
Ravens · QBQB Elo
+99
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
55.0
Games
48
passing · 4g
967 yds · 6-1 TD-INT · 10.1 Y/A · 71% comp
Josh Allen
Bills · QBQB Elo
+90
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
51.9
Games
56
passing · 6g
1,504 yds · 9-4 TD-INT · 8.8 Y/A · 67% comp
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.
Injuries
Ravens injuriesJaylinn Hawkins · S · Out
Knee
T.J. Tampa · CB · Questionable
Knee
Olaivavega Ioane · G · Out
Knee
Adam Randall · RB · Questionable
Neck
Bills injuriesDJ Moore · WR · Questionable
Shoulder
Greg Gaines · DT · Questionable
Calf
Spencer Brown · T · Questionable
Back
Dee Alford · CB · Questionable
Ankle
Tyrell Shavers · WR · Out
Knee
Dalton Kincaid · TE · Questionable
Chest
TJ Parker · LB · Questionable
Knee