Colts
Elo 1422 · #24 · 2-5
@
Sun, Nov 1, 12:00 PM CT
Final 7–42
Jaguars
Elo 1607 · #6 · 4-2
Daniel Jones vs Trevor Lawrence
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
79°F · Cloudy
Wind 13 mph — breezy
Power edge
Jaguars by 9.3 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+1.9 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 82% · Market 80%
ColtsElo
1422
Rank
#24
Record
2-5
Point diff -26
JaguarsElo
1607
Rank
#6
Record
4-2
Point diff +50
Win probability — Jaguars
Market80.5%
Model82.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadJaguars -10 -108DraftKings-0.2% EV
MoneylineJaguars -426Kalshi
Starting quarterbacks
Daniel Jones
Colts · QBQB Elo
-2
vs avg
Average
Raw value
19.7
Games
34
passing · 7g
1,398 yds · 4-7 TD-INT · 5.8 Y/A · 60% comp
Trevor Lawrence
Jaguars · QBQB Elo
+23
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
28.4
Games
45
passing · 6g
1,480 yds · 14-4 TD-INT · 8.0 Y/A · 65% comp
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.
Injuries
Colts injuriesAndrew Ogletree · TE · Questionable
Knee
Anthony Gould · WR · Out
Concussion
Justin Walley · CB · Out
Knee
Bryce Boettcher · LB · Questionable
Groin
Jaguars injuriesJakobi Meyers · WR · Questionable
Hamstring / Ankle
Antonio Johnson · S · Out
Ankle