Vikings
Elo 1642 · #3 · 6-0
@
Sun, Nov 1, 12:00 PM CT
Final 15–19
Lions
Elo 1569 · #11 · 4-2
Kyler Murray vs Jared Goff
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
Indoors · no weather factor
Power edge
Vikings by 1.0 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+1.9 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 55% · Market 61%
VikingsElo
1642
Rank
#3
Record
6-0
Point diff +51
LionsElo
1569
Rank
#11
Record
4-2
Point diff +19
Win probability — Lions
Market61.3%
Model55.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadVikings +3 +112ProphetX+13.6% EV
MoneylineLions -164FanDuel
Starting quarterbacks
Kyler Murray
Vikings · QBQB Elo
+55
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
39.5
Games
35
passing · 5g
812 yds · 3-2 TD-INT · 6.5 Y/A · 66% comp
Jared Goff
Lions · QBQB Elo
+60
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
41.2
Games
55
passing · 6g
1,788 yds · 14-0 TD-INT · 8.0 Y/A · 67% comp
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.
Injuries
Vikings injuriesJay Ward · S · Questionable
Knee
Lions injuriesKerby Joseph · S · Out
Knee
Roger McCreary · CB · Questionable
Foot