Browns
Elo 1471 · #19 · 5-2
@
Sun, Nov 1, 12:00 PM CT
Final 6–27
Steelers
Elo 1571 · #10 · 5-2
Deshaun Watson vs Aaron Rodgers
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
67°F · Cloudy
Wind 7 mph
Power edge
Steelers by 5.9 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+1.9 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 69% · Market 64%
BrownsElo
1471
Rank
#19
Record
5-2
Point diff -13
SteelersElo
1571
Rank
#10
Record
5-2
Point diff +15
Win probability — Steelers
Market63.9%
Model68.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadSteelers -3.5 +100Kalshi+9.8% EV
MoneylineSteelers -184ProphetX
Starting quarterbacks
Deshaun Watson
Browns · QBQB Elo
-32
vs avg
Below avg
Raw value
9.2
Games
19
passing · 7g
1,482 yds · 7-3 TD-INT · 7.1 Y/A · 65% comp
Aaron Rodgers
Steelers · QBQB Elo
+15
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
25.6
Games
34
passing · 7g
1,699 yds · 13-5 TD-INT · 6.5 Y/A · 62% comp
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.
Injuries
Browns injuriesTytus Howard · T · Questionable
Concussion
Daniel Thomas · S · Questionable
Ankle
Myles Harden · CB · Questionable
Hamstring
Steelers injuriesBrandin Echols · CB · Out
Hamstring
Ben Skowronek · WR · Questionable
Calf
Doneiko Slaughter · CB · Out
Hamstring