Chargers
Elo 1419 · #25 · 0-6
@
Sun, Nov 1, 3:05 PM CT
Final 9–24
Rams
Elo 1571 · #9 · 3-4
Justin Herbert vs Matthew Stafford
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
Indoors · no weather factor
Power edge
Rams by 8.0 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+1.9 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 69% · Market 71%
Elo
1419
Rank
#25
Record
0-6
Point diff -61
Elo
1571
Rank
#9
Record
3-4
Point diff +11
Win probability — Rams
Market71.3%
Model68.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadChargers +6.5 +101ProphetX+6.6% EV
MoneylineRams -265DraftKings
Starting quarterbacks
Justin Herbert
QB Elo
+30
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
30.8
Games
49
passing · 6g
1,141 yds · 5-8 TD-INT · 6.3 Y/A · 59% comp
Matthew Stafford
QB Elo
+27
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
29.8
Games
43
passing · 7g
1,989 yds · 14-7 TD-INT · 7.2 Y/A · 67% comp
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.
Injuries
Donte Jackson · CB · Questionable
Hamstring
Derwin James · S · Out
Hamstring
Kayode Awosika · G · Out
Fibula
Deane Leonard · CB · Out
Concussion
Rodney Shelley · CB · Questionable
Hamstring
Brenen Thompson · WR · Out
Quadricep / Hamstring
Joe Cardona · LS · Doubtful
Ankle
Coleman Shelton · C · Questionable
Hip
Colby Parkinson · TE · Questionable
Rib
Trent McDuffie · CB · Questionable
Groin
Jordan Whittington · WR · Questionable
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