Cardinals
Elo 1378 · #30 · 2-5
@
Sun, Nov 1, 12:00 PM CT
Final 33–30
Cowboys
Elo 1471 · #20 · 3-4
Jacoby Brissett vs Dak Prescott
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
Indoors · no weather factor
Power edge
Cowboys by 5.6 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+1.9 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 76% · Market 74%
CardinalsElo
1378
Rank
#30
Record
2-5
Point diff -66
CowboysElo
1471
Rank
#20
Record
3-4
Point diff +9
Win probability — Cowboys
Market73.9%
Model75.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadCowboys -7 -105ProphetX+3.3% EV
MoneylineCowboys -290ProphetX
Starting quarterbacks
Jacoby Brissett
Cardinals · QBQB Elo
-13
vs avg
Average
Raw value
15.9
Games
19
passing · 7g
1,600 yds · 10-6 TD-INT · 5.7 Y/A · 65% comp
Dak Prescott
Cowboys · QBQB Elo
+40
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
34.5
Games
40
passing · 7g
1,851 yds · 13-5 TD-INT · 6.8 Y/A · 65% comp
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.
Injuries
Cardinals injuriesHjalte Froholdt · C · Questionable
Knee
Andrew Wingard · S · Questionable
Knee
Jon Gaines II · G · Out
Ankle
Max Melton · CB · Questionable
Knee
Walter Nolen · DT · Out
Ankle
Cowboys injuriesJonathan Bullard · DT · Questionable
Calf
Kenny Clark · DT · Questionable
Back
P.J. Locke · S · Questionable
Foot
George Pickens · WR · Questionable
Shoulder / Hamstring
KaVontae Turpin · WR · Out
Ribs
Luke Schoonmaker · TE · Questionable
Groin
Dee Winters · LB · Out
Calf
Marist Liufau · LB · Questionable
Forearm