Eagles
Elo 1449 · #22 · 2-5
@
Sun, Nov 1, 7:20 PM CT
Final 10–27
Commanders
Elo 1407 · #27 · 1-4
Jalen Hurts vs Jayden Daniels
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
51°F · Cloudy
Wind 4 mph
Power edge
Commanders by 0.2 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+1.9 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 55% · Market 70%
EaglesElo
1449
Rank
#22
Record
2-5
Point diff -48
CommandersElo
1407
Rank
#27
Record
1-4
Point diff -40
Win probability — Commanders
Market70.2%
Model55.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadEagles +6.5 -108NoVig⚠ +22.2% EV · likely a bad line, not a pick
MoneylineCommanders -239NoVig
Starting quarterbacks
Jalen Hurts
Eagles · QBQB Elo
+63
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
42.5
Games
54
passing · 5g
933 yds · 8-3 TD-INT · 6.1 Y/A · 58% comp
Jayden Daniels
Commanders · QBQB Elo
+52
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
38.5
Games
19
passing · 4g
759 yds · 5-0 TD-INT · 6.5 Y/A · 65% comp
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.
Injuries
Eagles injuriesJonathan Jones · CB · Out
Hamstring
DeVonta Smith · WR · Out
Hamstring
Britain Covey · WR · Out
Knee
Dontayvion Wicks · WR · Out
Ankle
Jakorian Bennett · CB · Questionable
Knee
Jihaad Campbell · LB · Out
Hamstring / Quadricep
Commanders injuriesDaron Payne · DT · Out
Foot
Javon Kinlaw · DT · Out
Knee
John Bates · TE · Questionable
Shoulder
Treylon Burks · WR · Questionable
Foot
Jer'Zhan Newton · DT · Questionable
Pectoral