Buffalo
Elo 1537 · #77 · 5-3
@
Tue, Nov 3, 7:00 PM CT
Miami (OH)
Elo 1518 · #82 · 5-3
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
62°F · Clear
Wind 6 mph
Power edge
Miami (OH) by 1.8 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 63% · Market 69%
BuffaloElo
1537
Rank
#77
Record
5-3
Point diff -22
Miami (OH)Elo
1518
Rank
#82
Record
5-3
Point diff +10
Win probability — Miami (OH)
Market68.6%
Model62.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadBulls +6.5 +108Kalshi⚠ +15.9% EV · likely a bad line, not a pick
MoneylineRedHawks -233Kalshi
TotalOver 44.5 +100Kalshi+7.1% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Buffalo · QB
Yards
987
TD-INT
7-4
Comp%
50%
2026: 5.3 Y/A · 158 rush yds, 2 TD
Miami (OH) · QB
Yards
1,120
TD-INT
7-1
Comp%
63%
2026: 10.9 Y/A · 45 rush yds, 3 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.