Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Pittsburgh
Market77.5%
Model82.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadPanthers -10.5 +100Kalshi+5.2% EV
MoneylinePanthers -376Kalshi
TotalOver 51.5 -104Kalshi+4.8% EV