Jaxson Dart vs Matthew Stafford
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Rams
Market74.5%
Model73.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadGiants +7.5 -117Kalshi-1.5% EV
MoneylineRams -295ProphetX
TotalUnder 47.5 +100Kalshi+3.5% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Jaxson Dart
Limited data — no rating yet for this starter.
Matthew Stafford
QB Elo
+27
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
29.8
Games
43
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.