Seahawks
Elo 1649 · #1 · 1-0
@
Thu, Oct 15, 7:15 PM CT
Broncos
Elo 1578 · #7 · 0-1

Win probability — Broncos

Market45.7%
Model46.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

Spreadno lean
MoneylineSeahawks —

Starting quarterbacks

Sam Darnold
Seahawks · QB
QB Elo
+16
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
25.9
Games
26
Bo Nix
Broncos · QB
QB Elo
+46
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
36.4
Games
18
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.