49ers
Elo 1599 · #3 · 1-0
@
Thu, Sep 10, 7:35 PM CT
Final 27–7
Rams
Elo 1564 · #12 · 0-1
Brock Purdy vs Matthew Stafford
49ers Spread
+3.5+104Kalshi
Rams Spread
-3.5-102NoVig
Over / Under
O 47.5-108Kalshi
U 47.5+106NoVig
49ers ML
+180ProphetX
Rams ML
-182NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Win probability — Rams

Market64.1%
Model63.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

SpreadRams -3.5 -102NoVig+0.4% EV
MoneylineRams -182NoVig
TotalUnder 47.5 +106NoVig+6.9% EV

Starting quarterbacks

Brock Purdy
49ers · QB
QB Elo
+47
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
36.8
Games
43
Matthew Stafford
Rams · QB
QB Elo
+27
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
29.8
Games
43
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.