Astros
Elo 1497 · #18 · 76-76
@
Thu, Sep 10, 12:06 PM CT
Final 21
Phillies
Elo 1543 · #7 · 83-68
Cristian Javier vs Zack Wheeler
Astros RL
+1.5-125NoVig
Phillies RL
-1.5+122Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+100Kalshi
U 8.5-102NoVig
Astros ML
+168ProphetX
Phillies ML
-170NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Clear
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
5
9 PM
5
10 PM
3
Astros record
Overall77-76 · .503
Home39-39
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakW1
Phillies record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home41-34
Away44-34
Last 105-5
StreakW2

Win probability — Phillies

Market62.7%
Model61.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePhillies -170NoVig-0.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
95
ERA
5.31
FIP
4.75
K-BB%
11.6%
IP
61
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home325.061.349.03.9.242
Away295.591.597.83.7.288
Night425.401.497.14.3.261
vs LHB311.346.92.9.262
vs RHB301.5810.04.8.267
Phillies
rating
122
ERA
2.99
FIP
3.50
K-BB%
21.9%
IP
150
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home662.861.0811.43.4.193
Away843.091.049.92.2.217
Night1043.621.1510.52.9.225
vs LHB851.2010.43.5.220
vs RHB650.8811.01.8.189

Injuries

Astros injuries
Brandon Walter · P · Injured 60-Day
Brice Matthews · CF · Injured 60-Day
Carlos Correa · SS · Injured 60-Day
Mike Burrows · P · Injured 60-Day
Steven Okert · P · Injured 15-Day
Phillies injuries
Adolis García · RF · Injured 60-Day
Brad Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
Caleb Kilian · P · Injured 15-Day
Felix Reyes · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jesús Luzardo · P · Injured 15-Day
Johan Rojas · CF · Injured 60-Day