Pirates
Elo 1504 · #15 · 75-77
@
Thu, Sep 10, 6:41 PM CT
Final 2–0
White Sox
Elo 1497 · #19 · 77-75
Jared Jones vs Hagen Smith
Pirates RL
-1.5+163Kalshi
White Sox RL
+1.5-167NoVig
Over / Under
O 7.5-108Kalshi
U 7.5+104Kalshi
Pirates ML
-103ProphetX
White Sox ML
+104NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
69°F
Cloudy
Wind 10 mph · crosswind
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
6
10 PM
9
Pirates record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home39-36
Away37-41
Last 106-4
StreakW1
White Sox record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home44-31
Away34-44
Last 103-7
StreakW1

Win probability — White Sox

Market49.6%
Model52.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineWhite Sox +104NoVig+3.0% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

rating
118
ERA
4.17
FIP
3.55
K-BB%
20.5%
IP
91
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home504.681.0810.82.5.215
Away413.541.3310.83.8.234
Night613.391.1310.92.2.232
vs LHB53—1.2211.33.7.216
vs RHB37—1.1610.22.2.234
Hagen Smith
White Sox
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).

Injuries

Pirates injuries
Braxton Ashcraft · P · Injured 15-Day
Endy Rodríguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Esmerlyn Valdez · RF · Injured 10-Day
Isaac Mattson · P · Injured 15-Day
Kirby Yates · P · Injured 15-Day
Mitch Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
White Sox injuries
Brooks Baldwin · LF · Injured 60-Day
Huascar Brazobán · P · Injured 15-Day
Joey Bart · C · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Leasure · P · Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Vasil · P · Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa · P · Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray · LF · Injured 60-Day