Rays
Elo 1547 · #6 · 92-59
@
Thu, Sep 10, 11:15 AM CT
Final 1–3
Braves
Elo 1537 · #9 · 89-65
Nick Martinez vs Martín Pérez
Rays RL
+1.5-178NoVig
Braves RL
-1.5+178Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+102NoVig
U 8.5-104Kalshi
Rays ML
+117NoVig
Braves ML
-113Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
81°F
Clear
Wind 1 mph · in from CF (−1)
7 PM
1
8 PM
1
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Rays record
Overall93-59 · .612
Home53-25
Away40-34
Last 108-2
StreakW6
Braves record
Overall89-64 · .582
Home51-27
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Braves

Market53.1%
Model51.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBraves -113Kalshi-1.0% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
98
ERA
2.94
FIP
4.04
K-BB%
11.3%
IP
171
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home853.901.205.71.4.267
Away861.990.944.91.1.221
Night1123.301.165.11.4.259
vs LHB101—1.025.71.4.229
vs RHB69—1.154.81.0.267
rating
88
ERA
3.07
FIP
4.29
K-BB%
7.0%
IP
138
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home751.801.046.23.8.178
Away634.601.526.94.0.273
Night902.901.276.54.4.213
vs LHB40—1.187.72.0.247
vs RHB98—1.296.14.7.214

Injuries

Rays injuries
Ben Williamson · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Edwin Uceta · P · Injured 60-Day
Garrett Cleavinger · P · Injured 15-Day
Gavin Lux · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan Heasley · P · Injured 60-Day
Manuel Rodríguez · P · Injured 15-Day
Ryan Pepiot · P · Injured 60-Day
Shane McClanahan · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Wells · P · Injured 15-Day
Braves injuries
Bryce Elder · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Jiménez · P · Injured 60-Day
Joey Wentz · P · Injured 60-Day
Lane Thomas · LF · Injured 10-Day
Reynaldo López · P · Injured 15-Day
Robert Suarez · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider · P · Injured 60-Day