Win probability — Giants
Market73.4%
Model58.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
Spreadno lean
MoneylineGiants —
Starting quarterbacks
Jacoby Brissett
QB Elo
-13
vs avg
Average
Raw value
15.9
Games
19
Jameis Winston
QB Elo
-26
vs avg
Below avg
Raw value
11.3
Games
14
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.