Win probability — Texans
Market55.1%
Model75.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
Spreadno lean
MoneylineTexans —
Starting quarterbacks
Dak Prescott
Cowboys · QBQB Elo
+40
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
34.5
Games
40
C.J. Stroud
Texans · QBQB Elo
0
vs avg
Average
Raw value
20.3
Games
36
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.