Cardinals
Elo 1494 · #21 · 75-77
@
Thu, Sep 3, 9:10 PM CT
Final 2–3
Dodgers
Elo 1571 · #2 · 92-60
Quinn Mathews vs Tarik Skubal
Cardinals RL
+1.5+122NoVig
Dodgers RL
-1.5-122Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5-113Kalshi
U 7.5+111NoVig
Cardinals ML
+264NoVig
Dodgers ML
-270Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
76°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · out to CF (+10)
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
8
10 PM
5
Cardinals record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home37-41
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL2
Dodgers record
Overall93-60 · .608
Home47-28
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakW1

Win probability — Dodgers

Market72.2%
Model64.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDodgers -270Kalshi-4.1% EV
Totalunder 7.5 +111NoVig · proj 6.6+5.0% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Cardinals
rating
103
ERA
3.62
FIP
3.61
K-BB%
12.3%
IP
37
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home121.460.9710.92.2.209
Away254.681.607.64.7.273
Night283.811.348.33.2.259
vs LHB10—1.1611.32.6.231
vs RHB27—1.487.74.3.262
rating
137
ERA
2.70
FIP
2.51
K-BB%
25.9%
IP
147
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home793.401.0610.91.9.226
Away671.870.8310.31.1.198
Night862.730.9711.41.6.216
vs LHB33—1.1012.71.1.252
vs RHB114—0.9110.11.7.202

Injuries

Cardinals injuries
Blaze Jordan · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Everson Pereira · RF · Injured 10-Day
Hunter Dobbins · P · Injured 15-Day
Max Rajcic · P · Injured 60-Day
Dodgers injuries
Andy Pages · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ben Casparius · P · Injured 60-Day
Brusdar Graterol · P · Injured 60-Day
Dalton Rushing · C · Injured 10-Day
Edgardo Henriquez · P · Injured 15-Day
Edwin Díaz · P · Injured 15-Day
Eric Lauer · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Stone · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Cousins · P · Injured 60-Day
Roki Sasaki · P · Injured 15-Day
Shohei Ohtani · TWP · Injured 15-Day
Will Klein · P · Injured 60-Day