Giants
Elo 1476 · #24 · 65-89
@
Thu, Sep 3, 11:35 AM CT
Final 2–5
Pirates
Elo 1504 · #15 · 75-77
Blade Tidwell vs Lake Bachar
Giants RL
+1.5-141NoVig
Pirates RL
-1.5+138Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-125NoVig
U 8.5+117NoVig
Giants ML
+152ProphetX
Pirates ML
-150Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
78°F
Showers
Wind 4 mph · out to CF (+4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
4
9 PM
1
10 PM
3
Giants record
Overall64-89 · .418
Home36-39
Away28-50
Last 105-5
StreakW2
Pirates record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home39-36
Away37-41
Last 106-4
StreakW1

Win probability — Pirates

Market59.8%
Model57.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePirates -150Kalshi-1.6% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
93
ERA
4.56
FIP
4.52
K-BB%
9.5%
IP
53
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home265.881.276.63.8.232
Away273.291.137.63.3.214
Night373.651.087.81.9.235
vs LHB26—1.715.66.0.265
vs RHB28—0.728.51.3.176
rating
101
ERA
3.54
FIP
4.51
K-BB%
14.6%
IP
81
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home382.150.989.83.4.177
Away444.741.268.94.3.210
Night482.060.969.43.2.172
vs LHB43—1.419.95.1.221
vs RHB38—0.838.72.6.163

Injuries

Giants injuries
Adrian Houser · P · Injured 60-Day
Carson Whisenhunt · P · Injured 60-Day
Casey Schmitt · LF · Injured 60-Day
Daniel Susac · C · Injured 60-Day
Harrison Bader · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hayden Birdsong · P · Injured 60-Day
JT Brubaker · P · Injured 10-Day
Jesus Rodriguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Joel Peguero · P · Injured 60-Day
José Buttó · P · Injured 60-Day
Keaton Winn · P · Injured 60-Day
Marcelo Mayer · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Matt Chapman · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Matt Gage · P · Injured 60-Day
Rafael Devers · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Randy Rodríguez · P · Injured 60-Day
Rowan Wick · P · Injured 60-Day
Sam Hentges · P · Injured 15-Day
Trevor McDonald · P · Injured 60-Day
Victor Bericoto · LF · Injured 10-Day
Willy Adames · SS · Injured 10-Day
Pirates injuries
Braxton Ashcraft · P · Injured 15-Day
Endy Rodríguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Esmerlyn Valdez · RF · Injured 10-Day
Isaac Mattson · P · Injured 15-Day
Kirby Yates · P · Injured 15-Day
Mitch Keller · P · Injured 60-Day