Red Sox
Elo 1550 · #5 · 82-70
@
Thu, Sep 3, 6:15 PM CT
Final 6–5
Orioles
Elo 1505 · #14 · 75-77
Jake Bennett vs Brandon Young
Red Sox RL
-1.5+138Kalshi
Orioles RL
+1.5-144Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+100Kalshi
U 8.5-101ProphetX
Red Sox ML
-115ProphetX
Orioles ML
+113Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
4
9 PM
4
10 PM
3
Red Sox record
Overall83-70 · .542
Home38-37
Away45-33
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Orioles record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home36-39
Away39-39
Last 106-4
StreakW3

Win probability — Orioles

Market46.7%
Model49.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRed Sox -115ProphetX-1.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
110
ERA
3.77
FIP
3.53
K-BB%
15.9%
IP
110
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home514.211.175.62.1.250
Away583.391.058.91.2.243
Night634.021.127.81.4.258
vs LHB30—0.819.42.4.158
vs RHB80—1.216.61.4.275
rating
92
ERA
3.64
FIP
4.59
K-BB%
10.0%
IP
146
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home803.951.367.73.0.261
Away663.271.396.83.8.254
Night1083.821.347.13.5.251
vs LHB89—1.346.54.5.229
vs RHB57—1.438.61.8.299

Injuries

Red Sox injuries
Anthony Seigler · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Ceddanne Rafaela · CF · Injured 10-Day
Curtis Mead · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Eduardo Rivera · P · Injured 60-Day
Eli White · CF · Injured 10-Day
Garrett Crochet · P · Injured 60-Day
Johan Oviedo · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Slaten · P · Injured 15-Day
Kutter Crawford · P · Injured 60-Day
Masataka Yoshida · DH · Injured 10-Day
Tanner Houck · P · Injured 60-Day
Triston Casas · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyron Guerrero · P · Injured 15-Day
Zack Kelly · P · Injured 60-Day
Orioles injuries
Blaze Alexander · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Christian Franklin · CF · Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby · P · Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista · P · Injured 60-Day
Jackson Holliday · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Westburg · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Keegan Akin · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Bradish · P · Injured 15-Day
Luis Robert Jr. · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Mountcastle · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler O'Neill · RF · Injured 10-Day
Zach Eflin · P · Injured 60-Day