Marlins
Elo 1501 · #16 · 76-77
@
Thu, Sep 3, 6:40 PM CT
Final 3–7
Royals
Elo 1480 · #23 · 67-85
Sandy Alcantara vs Michael Wacha
Marlins RL
-1.5+156Kalshi
Royals RL
+1.5-163Kalshi
Over / Under
O 9.5+117Kalshi
U 9.5-122Kalshi
Marlins ML
+108NoVig
Royals ML
-108Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
92°F
Clear
Wind 4 mph · crosswind
7 PM
4
8 PM
2
9 PM
3
10 PM
5
Marlins record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home45-33
Away31-44
Last 105-5
StreakW2
Royals record
Overall67-86 · .438
Home39-36
Away28-50
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Royals

Market51.8%
Model51.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRoyals -108Kalshi-0.6% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
96
ERA
3.84
FIP
4.05
K-BB%
10.6%
IP
206
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home923.141.076.82.6.211
Away1144.411.366.32.4.274
Night1364.501.266.32.6.252
vs LHB122—1.336.53.2.252
vs RHB83—1.106.61.6.240
rating
100
ERA
3.34
FIP
4.26
K-BB%
13.2%
IP
189
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home892.931.047.02.4.210
Away1003.701.147.22.3.239
Night1372.821.027.22.2.212
vs LHB108—1.097.72.5.215
vs RHB80—1.136.42.1.241

Injuries

Marlins injuries
Adam Mazur · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Nardi · P · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Bender · P · Injured 15-Day
Max Meyer · P · Injured 15-Day
Owen Caissie · RF · Injured 10-Day
Pete Fairbanks · P · Injured 15-Day
Robby Snelling · P · Injured 60-Day
Ronny Henriquez · P · Injured 60-Day
William Kempner · P · Injured 60-Day
Royals injuries
Alec Marsh · P · Injured 60-Day
Beck Way · P · Injured 15-Day
Carlos Estévez · P · Injured 60-Day
Cole Ragans · P · Injured 60-Day
Connor Seabold · P · Injured 60-Day
James McArthur · P · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan India · 2B · Injured 60-Day
Luinder Avila · P · Injured 60-Day
Nick Mears · P · Injured 60-Day
Stephen Kolek · P · Injured 60-Day
Tony Gonsolin · P · Injured 15-Day