White Sox
Elo 1497 · #19 · 77-75
@
Thu, Sep 3, 1:10 PM CT
Final 2–6
Astros
Elo 1497 · #18 · 76-76
Luis Castillo vs Hunter Brown
White Sox RL
+1.5-144Kalshi
Astros RL
-1.5+144NoVig
Over / Under
O 8.5+100NoVig
U 8.5+100Kalshi
White Sox ML
+144Kalshi
Astros ML
-147NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
83°F
Cloudy
Wind 4 mph · crosswind
7 PM
4
8 PM
4
9 PM
4
10 PM
2
White Sox record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home44-31
Away34-44
Last 103-7
StreakW1
Astros record
Overall77-76 · .503
Home39-39
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakW1

Win probability — Astros

Market59.4%
Model53.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineAstros -147NoVig-3.4% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
White Sox
rating
92
ERA
5.66
FIP
4.91
K-BB%
11.7%
IP
129
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home544.801.278.62.8.252
Away746.301.647.13.1.304
Night935.901.567.82.9.299
vs LHB71—1.586.93.4.290
vs RHB56—1.399.02.6.276
rating
106
ERA
3.43
FIP
3.93
K-BB%
15.0%
IP
97
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home583.551.3710.85.5.212
Away393.261.169.33.0.222
Night703.361.2610.14.3.219
vs LHB57—1.2811.55.0.202
vs RHB39—1.348.64.0.235

Injuries

White Sox injuries
Brooks Baldwin · LF · Injured 60-Day
Huascar Brazobán · P · Injured 15-Day
Joey Bart · C · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Leasure · P · Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Vasil · P · Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa · P · Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray · LF · Injured 60-Day
Astros injuries
Brandon Walter · P · Injured 60-Day
Brice Matthews · CF · Injured 60-Day
Carlos Correa · SS · Injured 60-Day
Mike Burrows · P · Injured 60-Day
Steven Okert · P · Injured 15-Day