Win probability — Panthers
Market46.8%
Model48.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
Spreadno lean
MoneylineBuccaneers —
Starting quarterbacks
Baker Mayfield
Buccaneers · QBQB Elo
+62
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
42.1
Games
49
Bryce Young
Panthers · QBQB Elo
-3
vs avg
Average
Raw value
19.3
Games
29
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.