Win probability — Ravens
Market61.6%
Model66.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
Spreadno lean
MoneylineRavens —
Starting quarterbacks
Joe Burrow
Bengals · QBQB Elo
+72
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
45.5
Games
46
Lamar Jackson
Ravens · QBQB Elo
+99
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
55.0
Games
48
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.