Win probability — Raiders
Market25.6%
Model32.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
Spreadno lean
MoneylineRams —
Starting quarterbacks
Matthew Stafford
Rams · QBQB Elo
+27
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
29.8
Games
43
Kirk Cousins
Raiders · QBQB Elo
+19
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
27.1
Games
40
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.