Win probability — Titans
Market55.1%
Model45.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
Spreadno lean
MoneylineBrowns —
Starting quarterbacks
Deshaun Watson
Browns · QBQB Elo
-32
vs avg
Below avg
Raw value
9.2
Games
19
Mitchell Trubisky
Titans · QBQB Elo
-24
vs avg
Below avg
Raw value
12.0
Games
13
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.