Red Sox
Elo 1550 · #5 · 82-70
@
Thu, Sep 17, 7:06 PM CT
Rangers
Elo 1494 · #20 · 76-76
Sonny Gray vs Tyler Alexander
Red Sox RL
-1.5+141NoVig
Rangers RL
+1.5-144Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5-107ProphetX
U 7.5+104Kalshi
Red Sox ML
-116ProphetX
Rangers ML
+113Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
97°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · crosswind
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
6
10 PM
5
Red Sox record
Overall83-70 · .542
Home38-37
Away45-33
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Rangers record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home42-33
Away34-44
Last 106-4
StreakL1

Win probability — Rangers

Market46.0%
Model49.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRed Sox -116ProphetX-1.1% EV
Totalover 7.5 -107ProphetX · proj 8.72+3.3% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Red Sox
rating
110
ERA
2.76
FIP
3.47
K-BB%
15.4%
IP
157
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home742.911.067.82.2.223
Away822.621.268.32.6.256
Night1102.381.118.62.3.232
vs LHB102—1.168.62.7.233
vs RHB54—1.207.12.0.254
rating
109
ERA
3.37
FIP
2.93
K-BB%
13.4%
IP
67
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home302.971.358.92.1.283
Away363.721.216.73.0.234
Night421.731.188.22.6.236
vs LHB29—1.216.51.2.277
vs RHB37—1.348.73.6.241

Injuries

Red Sox injuries
Anthony Seigler · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Ceddanne Rafaela · CF · Injured 10-Day
Curtis Mead · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Eduardo Rivera · P · Injured 60-Day
Eli White · CF · Injured 10-Day
Garrett Crochet · P · Injured 60-Day
Johan Oviedo · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Slaten · P · Injured 15-Day
Kutter Crawford · P · Injured 60-Day
Masataka Yoshida · DH · Injured 10-Day
Tanner Houck · P · Injured 60-Day
Triston Casas · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyron Guerrero · P · Injured 15-Day
Zack Kelly · P · Injured 60-Day
Rangers injuries
Carter Baumler · P · Injured 60-Day
Cole Winn · P · Injured 15-Day
Jack Leiter · P · Injured 60-Day
Jalen Beeks · P · Injured 60-Day
Jose Corniell · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Higashioka · C · Injured 10-Day
Michael Helman · CF · Injured 60-Day
Peyton Gray · P · Injured 15-Day