Twins
Elo 1463 · #27 · 71-81
@
Thu, Sep 17, 8:39 PM CT
Angels
Elo 1444 · #28 · 58-94
Taj Bradley vs Walbert Ureña
Twins RL
-1.5+160NoVig
Angels RL
+1.5-163Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5+104Kalshi
U 7.5-106NoVig
Twins ML
-102NoVig
Angels ML
+100Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
76°F
Clear
Wind 9 mph · out to CF (+9)
8 PM
9
9 PM
7
10 PM
5
11 PM
3
Twins record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home40-38
Away31-44
Last 103-7
StreakL1
Angels record
Overall59-94 · .386
Home33-45
Away26-49
Last 105-5
StreakW1

Win probability — Angels

Market49.6%
Model53.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineAngels +100Kalshi+1.4% EV
Totalover 7.5 +104Kalshi · proj 8.27+2.9% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
109
ERA
3.81
FIP
4.02
K-BB%
16.9%
IP
165
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home803.051.1010.43.6.194
Away864.521.3810.34.2.237
Night914.271.2111.33.7.215
vs LHB991.2610.84.6.204
vs RHB671.239.63.0.235
rating
101
ERA
2.88
FIP
3.61
K-BB%
11.0%
IP
137
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home782.421.139.14.2.186
Away593.491.387.94.7.230
Night1022.811.268.54.6.204
vs LHB741.447.95.5.223
vs RHB621.029.63.2.184

Injuries

Twins injuries
Anthony Banda · P · Injured 60-Day
Byron Buxton · CF · Injured 10-Day
Cole Sands · P · Injured 60-Day
David Festa · P · Injured 60-Day
Kaelen Culpepper · SS · Injured 10-Day
Mick Abel · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Paredes · P · Injured 60-Day
Pablo López · P · Injured 60-Day
Angels injuries
Anthony Rendon · 3B · Injured 60-Day
George Klassen · P · Injured 15-Day
Gustavo Campero · OF · Injured 10-Day
Jack Kochanowicz · P · Injured 60-Day
Nolan Schanuel · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Robert Stephenson · P · Injured 60-Day
Samy Natera Jr. · P · Injured 15-Day
Yoán Moncada · 3B · Injured 60-Day