Framber Valdez vs Erick Fedde
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Matchup factors
Weather
69°F
Cloudy
Wind 10 mph · crosswind
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
6
10 PM
9
Overall72-81 · .471
Home39-36
Away33-45
Last 107-3
StreakL2
Overall78-75 · .510
Home44-31
Away34-44
Last 103-7
StreakW1
Win probability — White Sox
Market51.4%
Model48.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).
Model picks
MoneylineTigers +108Kalshi+2.7% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean
Starting pitchers
Compare starters →ERA
4.01
FIP
4.02
K-BB%
8.6%
IP
164
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 79 | 4.00 | 1.35 | 6.0 | 3.2 | .256 |
| Away | 85 | 4.02 | 1.38 | 7.3 | 3.4 | .259 |
| Night | 109 | 4.62 | 1.51 | 6.3 | 3.8 | .277 |
| vs LHB | 39 | — | 1.37 | 9.5 | 2.8 | .268 |
| vs RHB | 125 | — | 1.36 | 5.8 | 3.5 | .254 |
ERA
3.97
FIP
5.16
K-BB%
7.5%
IP
134
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 69 | 3.13 | 1.32 | 5.2 | 3.4 | .248 |
| Away | 65 | 4.87 | 1.36 | 7.1 | 3.1 | .262 |
| Night | 73 | 3.56 | 1.25 | 6.0 | 2.8 | .246 |
| vs LHB | 71 | — | 1.39 | 6.0 | 4.1 | .245 |
| vs RHB | 62 | — | 1.30 | 6.4 | 2.3 | .266 |
Injuries
Bailey Horn · P · Injured 60-Day
Burch Smith · P · Injured 60-Day
Jack Flaherty · P · Injured 15-Day
Justin Verlander · P · Injured 60-Day
Kerry Carpenter · RF · Injured 10-Day
Matt Vierling · CF · Injured 60-Day
Parker Meadows · CF · Injured 60-Day
Reese Olson · P · Injured 60-Day
Trey Sweeney · SS · Injured 60-Day
Wenceel Pérez · RF · Injured 60-Day
Will Vest · P · Injured 60-Day
Brooks Baldwin · LF · Injured 60-Day
Huascar Brazobán · P · Injured 15-Day
Joey Bart · C · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Leasure · P · Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Vasil · P · Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa · P · Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray · LF · Injured 60-Day