Padres
Elo 1539 · #8 · 83-69
@
Thu, Sep 17, 2:10 PM CT
Rockies
Elo 1399 · #30 · 56-96
Michael King vs Tanner Gordon
Padres RL
-1.5-116ProphetX
Rockies RL
+1.5+113Kalshi
Over / Under
O 10.5-113Kalshi
U 10.5+108Kalshi
Padres ML
-178Kalshi
Rockies ML
+178Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Cloudy
Wind 6 mph · crosswind
7 PM
6
8 PM
4
9 PM
3
10 PM
1
Padres record
Overall84-69 · .549
Home46-29
Away38-40
Last 109-1
StreakW2
Rockies record
Overall56-97 · .366
Home31-44
Away25-53
Last 101-9
StreakL2

Win probability — Rockies

Market36.6%
Model39.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePadres -178Kalshi-2.4% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
98
ERA
3.03
FIP
4.13
K-BB%
11.5%
IP
175
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home892.741.127.93.4.212
Away863.341.187.33.4.218
Night1062.461.168.03.3.219
vs LHB110—1.167.43.6.211
vs RHB63—1.158.23.1.221
rating
101
ERA
5.55
FIP
4.50
K-BB%
14.7%
IP
97
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home537.471.587.12.0.323
Away443.251.357.91.2.302
Night645.371.487.11.6.316
vs LHB57—1.467.51.8.308
vs RHB40—1.517.61.6.321

Injuries

Padres injuries
Bryan Hoeing · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Sheets · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Jason Adam · P · Injured 60-Day
Jeremiah Estrada · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Musgrove · P · Injured 60-Day
Lucas Giolito · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Rengifo · LF · Injured 60-Day
Miguel Andujar · DH · Injured 10-Day
Ramón Laureano · LF · Injured 60-Day
Rockies injuries
Chase Dollander · P · Injured 60-Day
Jose Quintana · P · Injured 60-Day
Kris Bryant · DH · Injured 60-Day
McCade Brown · P · Injured 60-Day
Pierson Ohl · P · Injured 60-Day
Welinton Herrera · P · Injured 60-Day
Willi Castro · 2B · Injured 10-Day