Brewers
Elo 1594 · #1 · 95-57
@
Thu, Sep 17, 11:36 AM CT
Pirates
Elo 1504 · #15 · 75-77
Kyle Harrison vs Wilber Dotel
Brewers RL
-1.5+120NoVig
Pirates RL
+1.5-122Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-111NoVig
U 8.5+108Kalshi
Brewers ML
-136ProphetX
Pirates ML
+133Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
78°F
Showers
Wind 4 mph · out to CF (+4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
4
9 PM
1
10 PM
3
Brewers record
Overall95-58 · .621
Home52-26
Away43-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1
Pirates record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home39-36
Away37-41
Last 106-4
StreakW1

Win probability — Pirates

Market43.2%
Model43.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBrewers -136ProphetX-1.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

rating
116
ERA
3.98
FIP
4.03
K-BB%
21.3%
IP
111
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home571.890.9312.32.0.193
Away546.201.719.43.4.313
Night724.981.4511.23.1.270
vs LHB34—1.049.91.3.236
vs RHB77—1.4311.43.3.265
Wilber Dotel
Pirates
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).

Injuries

Brewers injuries
Angel Zerpa · P · Injured 60-Day
Brandon Woodruff · P · Injured 60-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick · P · Injured 60-Day
Bryse Wilson · P · Injured 15-Day
Grant Anderson · P · Injured 15-Day
Quinn Priester · P · Injured 60-Day
Rob Zastryzny · P · Injured 60-Day
Pirates injuries
Braxton Ashcraft · P · Injured 15-Day
Endy Rodríguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Esmerlyn Valdez · RF · Injured 10-Day
Isaac Mattson · P · Injured 15-Day
Kirby Yates · P · Injured 15-Day
Mitch Keller · P · Injured 60-Day