Mariners
Elo 1485 · #22 · 71-82
@
Wed, Sep 2, 3:11 PM CT
Final 8–3
Red Sox
Elo 1550 · #5 · 82-70
Bryce Miller vs Patrick Sandoval
Mariners RL
+1.5-167NoVig
Red Sox RL
-1.5+163Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+106NoVig
U 8.5-108Kalshi
Mariners ML
+127NoVig
Red Sox ML
-127Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
74°F
Cloudy
Wind 8 mph · out to CF (+8)
7 PM
8
8 PM
7
9 PM
4
10 PM
6
Mariners record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home40-35
Away31-47
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Red Sox record
Overall83-70 · .542
Home38-37
Away45-33
Last 105-5
StreakW1

Win probability — Red Sox

Market55.7%
Model57.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRed Sox -127Kalshi+0.5% EV
Totalunder 8.5 -108Kalshi · proj 7.71+0.5% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Mariners
rating
103
ERA
4.19
FIP
4.60
K-BB%
16.5%
IP
107
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home473.660.9610.23.3.169
Away614.601.307.92.5.266
Night724.271.167.82.0.246
vs LHB58—1.298.22.8.254
vs RHB48—1.029.93.0.189
rating
101
ERA
4.99
FIP
3.91
K-BB%
12.4%
IP
58
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home304.451.788.34.2.325
Away275.601.7911.24.9.309
Night403.791.669.84.7.295
vs LHB15—2.3213.54.9.377
vs RHB42—1.638.54.5.293

Injuries

Mariners injuries
Brendan Donovan · 3B · Injured 7-Day
Brennen Davis · CF · Injured 60-Day
Cole Wilcox · P · Injured 15-Day
Colt Emerson · SS · Injured 60-Day
Emerson Hancock · P · Injured 15-Day
Logan Evans · P · Injured 60-Day
Luke Raley · RF · Injured 60-Day
Matt Brash · P · Injured 60-Day
Nick Davila · P · Injured 60-Day
Will Wilson · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Red Sox injuries
Anthony Seigler · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Ceddanne Rafaela · CF · Injured 10-Day
Curtis Mead · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Eduardo Rivera · P · Injured 60-Day
Eli White · CF · Injured 10-Day
Garrett Crochet · P · Injured 60-Day
Johan Oviedo · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Slaten · P · Injured 15-Day
Kutter Crawford · P · Injured 60-Day
Masataka Yoshida · DH · Injured 10-Day
Tanner Houck · P · Injured 60-Day
Triston Casas · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyron Guerrero · P · Injured 15-Day
Zack Kelly · P · Injured 60-Day