Orioles
Elo 1505 · #14 · 75-77
@
Wed, Sep 2, 2:11 PM CT
Final 5–6
Rockies
Elo 1399 · #30 · 56-96
Trevor Rogers vs Tomoyuki Sugano
Orioles RL
-1.5+100Kalshi
Rockies RL
+1.5-101ProphetX
Over / Under
O 11.5+108Kalshi
U 11.5-113Kalshi
Orioles ML
-148ProphetX
Rockies ML
+150NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Cloudy
Wind 6 mph · crosswind
7 PM
6
8 PM
4
9 PM
3
10 PM
1
Orioles record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home36-39
Away39-39
Last 106-4
StreakW3
Rockies record
Overall56-97 · .366
Home31-44
Away25-53
Last 101-9
StreakL2

Win probability — Rockies

Market40.4%
Model41.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineOrioles -148ProphetX-0.8% EV
Totalunder 11.5 -113Kalshi · proj 10.43+1.3% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
110
ERA
4.22
FIP
3.68
K-BB%
16.0%
IP
158
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home854.011.177.32.1.248
Away724.481.279.22.2.259
Night714.821.217.92.5.244
vs LHB41—0.978.92.2.197
vs RHB116—1.317.92.2.272
rating
81
ERA
5.49
FIP
5.54
K-BB%
8.5%
IP
143
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home745.351.355.01.9.286
Away695.641.375.92.4.277
Night915.261.325.82.1.276
vs LHB78—1.395.62.8.271
vs RHB64—1.345.21.4.295

Injuries

Orioles injuries
Blaze Alexander · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Christian Franklin · CF · Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby · P · Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista · P · Injured 60-Day
Jackson Holliday · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Westburg · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Keegan Akin · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Bradish · P · Injured 15-Day
Luis Robert Jr. · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Mountcastle · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler O'Neill · RF · Injured 10-Day
Zach Eflin · P · Injured 60-Day
Rockies injuries
Chase Dollander · P · Injured 60-Day
Jose Quintana · P · Injured 60-Day
Kris Bryant · DH · Injured 60-Day
McCade Brown · P · Injured 60-Day
Pierson Ohl · P · Injured 60-Day
Welinton Herrera · P · Injured 60-Day
Willi Castro · 2B · Injured 10-Day