Braves
Elo 1537 · #9 · 89-65
@
Wed, Sep 2, 12:06 PM CT
Final 9–0
Nationals
Elo 1472 · #25 · 71-82
Grant Holmes vs Brad Lord
Braves RL
-1.5+117NoVig
Nationals RL
+1.5-117Kalshi
Over / Under
O 9.5+111NoVig
U 9.5-113Kalshi
Braves ML
-130NoVig
Nationals ML
+133Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
78°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
2
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Braves record
Overall89-64 · .582
Home51-27
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL1
Nationals record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Nationals

Market43.0%
Model50.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineNationals +133Kalshi+5.6% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
88
ERA
3.49
FIP
4.74
K-BB%
8.5%
IP
142
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home714.541.516.93.9.273
Away702.431.087.03.6.192
Night894.351.407.34.0.250
vs LHB87—1.266.64.1.220
vs RHB54—1.377.73.2.257
Nationals
rating
98
ERA
4.04
FIP
4.24
K-BB%
11.8%
IP
78
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home366.251.369.33.8.246
Away422.141.177.33.4.210
Night383.581.127.73.1.204
vs LHB34—1.6010.45.3.248
vs RHB44—1.016.62.3.209

Injuries

Braves injuries
Bryce Elder · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Jiménez · P · Injured 60-Day
Joey Wentz · P · Injured 60-Day
Lane Thomas · LF · Injured 10-Day
Reynaldo López · P · Injured 15-Day
Robert Suarez · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider · P · Injured 60-Day
Nationals injuries
Connelly Early · P · Injured 60-Day
DJ Herz · P · Injured 60-Day
Drew Millas · C · Injured 60-Day
Josiah Gray · P · Injured 60-Day
Ken Waldichuk · P · Injured 60-Day
Matt Waldron · P · Injured 60-Day
Mitchell Parker · P · Injured 60-Day
Orlando Ribalta · P · Injured 15-Day
PJ Poulin · P · Injured 60-Day