Marlins
Elo 1501 · #16 · 76-77
@
Wed, Sep 2, 6:41 PM CT
Final 9–6
Royals
Elo 1480 · #23 · 67-85
Eury Pérez vs Noah Cameron
Marlins RL
-1.5+163Kalshi
Royals RL
+1.5-167NoVig
Over / Under
O 8.5-113Kalshi
U 8.5+115NoVig
Marlins ML
+102NoVig
Royals ML
-104Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
92°F
Clear
Wind 4 mph · crosswind
7 PM
4
8 PM
2
9 PM
3
10 PM
5
Marlins record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home45-33
Away31-44
Last 105-5
StreakW2
Royals record
Overall67-86 · .438
Home39-36
Away28-50
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Royals

Market50.8%
Model49.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineMarlins +102NoVig+0.1% EV
Totalover 8.5 -113Kalshi · proj 9.52+2.6% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
105
ERA
3.99
FIP
4.01
K-BB%
15.1%
IP
144
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home733.451.188.43.0.230
Away714.541.3011.05.0.205
Night624.761.3310.34.5.222
vs LHB82—1.1910.74.3.200
vs RHB61—1.338.43.7.241
rating
106
ERA
3.84
FIP
3.68
K-BB%
14.0%
IP
166
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home794.581.448.13.5.266
Away883.180.978.02.2.201
Night954.171.248.23.0.241
vs LHB38—1.328.32.1.273
vs RHB127—1.178.13.1.220

Injuries

Marlins injuries
Adam Mazur · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Nardi · P · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Bender · P · Injured 15-Day
Max Meyer · P · Injured 15-Day
Owen Caissie · RF · Injured 10-Day
Pete Fairbanks · P · Injured 15-Day
Robby Snelling · P · Injured 60-Day
Ronny Henriquez · P · Injured 60-Day
William Kempner · P · Injured 60-Day
Royals injuries
Alec Marsh · P · Injured 60-Day
Beck Way · P · Injured 15-Day
Carlos Estévez · P · Injured 60-Day
Cole Ragans · P · Injured 60-Day
Connor Seabold · P · Injured 60-Day
James McArthur · P · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan India · 2B · Injured 60-Day
Luinder Avila · P · Injured 60-Day
Nick Mears · P · Injured 60-Day
Stephen Kolek · P · Injured 60-Day
Tony Gonsolin · P · Injured 15-Day