Mets
Elo 1498 · #17 · 69-83
@
Wed, Sep 2, 5:41 PM CT
Final 10–4
Rays
Elo 1547 · #6 · 92-59
Justin Hagenman vs Griffin Jax
Mets RL
+1.5-132ProphetX
Rays RL
-1.5+133Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5-117Kalshi
U 7.5+117NoVig
Mets ML
+160NoVig
Rays ML
-163Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
Roof closed
Neutral conditions
Mets record
Overall69-84 · .451
Home34-44
Away35-40
Last 104-6
StreakL5
Rays record
Overall93-59 · .612
Home53-25
Away40-34
Last 108-2
StreakW6

Win probability — Rays

Market61.5%
Model62.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRays -163Kalshi-0.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Justin Hagenman
Mets
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).
rating
111
ERA
3.80
FIP
3.91
K-BB%
17.9%
IP
104
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home553.761.1511.83.0.222
Away493.831.266.92.7.258
Night773.491.109.82.4.225
vs LHB63—1.2310.32.7.247
vs RHB41—1.168.33.0.227

Injuries

Mets injuries
Cionel Pérez · P · Injured 15-Day
Daniel Duarte · P · Injured 15-Day
Devin Williams · P · Injured 15-Day
Jorge Polanco · DH · Injured 60-Day
Reed Garrett · P · Injured 60-Day
Robert Stock · P · Injured 15-Day
Tylor Megill · P · Injured 60-Day
Rays injuries
Ben Williamson · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Edwin Uceta · P · Injured 60-Day
Garrett Cleavinger · P · Injured 15-Day
Gavin Lux · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan Heasley · P · Injured 60-Day
Manuel Rodríguez · P · Injured 15-Day
Ryan Pepiot · P · Injured 60-Day
Shane McClanahan · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Wells · P · Injured 15-Day