Blue Jays
Elo 1514 · #11 · 76-77
@
Wed, Sep 2, 5:41 PM CT
Final 11–0
Guardians
Elo 1506 · #13 · 78-75
Dylan Cease vs Joey Cantillo
Blue Jays RL
-1.5+144Kalshi
Guardians RL
+1.5-150Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5+108Kalshi
U 7.5-108NoVig
Blue Jays ML
-119ProphetX
Guardians ML
+117Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
72°F
Cloudy
Wind 3 mph · crosswind
7 PM
3
8 PM
3
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Blue Jays record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home40-38
Away36-39
Last 104-6
StreakW1
Guardians record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home38-40
Away40-35
Last 106-4
StreakW2

Win probability — Guardians

Market45.6%
Model50.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineGuardians +117Kalshi+2.1% EV
Totalover 7.5 +108Kalshi · proj 8.4+4.0% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Blue Jays
rating
135
ERA
2.38
FIP
2.52
K-BB%
24.6%
IP
166
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home852.851.1813.64.2.198
Away811.890.9411.93.6.157
Night932.601.0912.13.5.198
vs LHB98—1.0213.14.1.161
vs RHB68—1.1312.33.6.202
Guardians
rating
101
ERA
3.89
FIP
4.09
K-BB%
12.9%
IP
148
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home663.821.399.84.5.239
Away823.951.559.94.9.262
Night833.891.469.24.5.254
vs LHB39—1.336.74.2.239
vs RHB108—1.5411.15.0.256

Injuries

Blue Jays injuries
Addison Barger · RF · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Santander · RF · Injured 60-Day
Bowden Francis · P · Injured 60-Day
Cody Ponce · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Bloss · P · Injured 60-Day
Jameson Taillon · P · Injured 15-Day
Jonatan Clase · LF · Injured 60-Day
José Berríos · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Urías · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Patrick Corbin · P · Injured 60-Day
Rudy Martin Jr. · RF · Injured 10-Day
Shane Bieber · P · Injured 15-Day
Trey Yesavage · P · Injured 15-Day
Yimi García · P · Injured 60-Day
Guardians injuries
Colin Holderman · P · Injured 15-Day
Rhys Hoskins · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Shawn Armstrong · P · Injured 60-Day