Padres
Elo 1539 · #8 · 83-69
@
Mon, Sep 14, 7:41 PM CT
Final 8–7
Rockies
Elo 1399 · #30 · 56-96
Casey Mize vs Tomoyuki Sugano
Padres RL
-1.5-117Kalshi
Rockies RL
+1.5+115NoVig
Over / Under
O 10.5-122Kalshi
U 10.5+117Kalshi
Padres ML
-186Kalshi
Rockies ML
+186Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Cloudy
Wind 6 mph · crosswind
7 PM
6
8 PM
4
9 PM
3
10 PM
1
Padres record
Overall84-69 · .549
Home46-29
Away38-40
Last 109-1
StreakW2
Rockies record
Overall56-97 · .366
Home31-44
Away25-53
Last 101-9
StreakL2

Win probability — Rockies

Market35.4%
Model37.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePadres -186Kalshi-1.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
107
ERA
3.69
FIP
3.70
K-BB%
14.9%
IP
124
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home603.150.978.01.8.211
Away644.201.317.52.7.259
Night754.421.278.62.9.250
vs LHB70—1.097.82.2.223
vs RHB53—1.237.82.4.255
rating
81
ERA
5.49
FIP
5.54
K-BB%
8.5%
IP
143
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home745.351.355.01.9.286
Away695.641.375.92.4.277
Night915.261.325.82.1.276
vs LHB78—1.395.62.8.271
vs RHB64—1.345.21.4.295

Injuries

Padres injuries
Bryan Hoeing · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Sheets · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Jason Adam · P · Injured 60-Day
Jeremiah Estrada · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Musgrove · P · Injured 60-Day
Lucas Giolito · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Rengifo · LF · Injured 60-Day
Miguel Andujar · DH · Injured 10-Day
Ramón Laureano · LF · Injured 60-Day
Rockies injuries
Chase Dollander · P · Injured 60-Day
Jose Quintana · P · Injured 60-Day
Kris Bryant · DH · Injured 60-Day
McCade Brown · P · Injured 60-Day
Pierson Ohl · P · Injured 60-Day
Welinton Herrera · P · Injured 60-Day
Willi Castro · 2B · Injured 10-Day