Braves
Elo 1537 · #9 · 89-65
@
Mon, Sep 14, 6:41 PM CT
Final 3–7
Cubs
Elo 1559 · #4 · 85-68
Reynaldo López vs David Peterson
Braves RL
+1.5-163Kalshi
Cubs RL
-1.5+156Kalshi
Over / Under
O 9.5-103ProphetX
U 9.5+104Kalshi
Braves ML
+122Kalshi
Cubs ML
-125ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
68°F
Cloudy
Wind 10 mph · in from CF (−10)
7 PM
10
8 PM
6
9 PM
5
10 PM
7
Braves record
Overall89-64 · .582
Home51-27
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL1
Cubs record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home45-33
Away40-35
Last 104-6
StreakW1

Win probability — Cubs

Market55.2%
Model51.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineCubs -125ProphetX-2.4% EV
Totalunder 9.5 +104Kalshi · proj 7.9+7.8% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
96
ERA
4.54
FIP
4.45
K-BB%
11.3%
IP
79
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home454.601.369.04.0.247
Away344.461.547.33.7.277
Night605.821.548.13.9.282
vs LHB41—1.749.47.2.241
vs RHB37—1.137.20.2.283
rating
95
ERA
5.11
FIP
4.08
K-BB%
10.0%
IP
137
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home726.031.698.54.4.294
Away664.111.407.73.7.254
Night816.021.678.64.3.293
vs LHB43—1.2211.82.1.246
vs RHB94—1.716.55.0.288

Injuries

Braves injuries
Bryce Elder · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Jiménez · P · Injured 60-Day
Joey Wentz · P · Injured 60-Day
Lane Thomas · LF · Injured 10-Day
Reynaldo López · P · Injured 15-Day
Robert Suarez · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider · P · Injured 60-Day
Cubs injuries
Ben Brown · P · Injured 60-Day
Cade Horton · P · Injured 60-Day
Dansby Swanson · SS · Injured 10-Day
Gavin Hollowell · P · Injured 15-Day
Hunter Harvey · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Steele · P · Injured 60-Day
Phil Maton · P · Injured 60-Day
Porter Hodge · P · Injured 60-Day
Riley Martin · P · Injured 60-Day
Shelby Miller · P · Injured 60-Day
Trent Thornton · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Austin · 1B · Injured 60-Day