Marlins
Elo 1501 · #16 · 76-77
@
Mon, Sep 14, 8:41 PM CT
Final 7–8
Diamondbacks
Elo 1511 · #12 · 80-73
Sandy Alcantara vs Corbin Burnes
Marlins RL
+1.5-178Kalshi
Diamondbacks RL
-1.5+163Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+108Kalshi
U 8.5-113Kalshi
Marlins ML
+117Kalshi
Diamondbacks ML
-117NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
89°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 4 mph · in from CF (−4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
4
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Marlins record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home45-33
Away31-44
Last 105-5
StreakW2
Diamondbacks record
Overall80-73 · .523
Home43-35
Away37-38
Last 105-5
StreakL2

Win probability — Diamondbacks

Market54.5%
Model55.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDiamondbacks -117NoVig+1.7% EV
Totalover 8.5 +108Kalshi · proj 9.56+3.4% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

rating
96
ERA
3.84
FIP
4.05
K-BB%
10.6%
IP
206
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home923.141.076.82.6.211
Away1144.411.366.32.4.274
Night1364.501.266.32.6.252
vs LHB122—1.336.53.2.252
vs RHB83—1.106.61.6.240
Corbin Burnes
Diamondbacks
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).

Injuries

Marlins injuries
Adam Mazur · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Nardi · P · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Bender · P · Injured 15-Day
Max Meyer · P · Injured 15-Day
Owen Caissie · RF · Injured 10-Day
Pete Fairbanks · P · Injured 15-Day
Robby Snelling · P · Injured 60-Day
Ronny Henriquez · P · Injured 60-Day
William Kempner · P · Injured 60-Day
Diamondbacks injuries
A.J. Puk · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Saalfrank · P · Injured 60-Day
Cristian Mena · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Thompson · P · Injured 60-Day
Tyler Locklear · 1B · Injured 60-Day