Sean Newcomb vs Gavin Williams
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Matchup factors
Weather
72°F
Cloudy
Wind 3 mph · crosswind
7 PM
3
8 PM
3
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
White Sox recordOverall78-75 · .510
Home44-31
Away34-44
Last 103-7
StreakW1
Guardians recordOverall78-75 · .510
Home38-40
Away40-35
Last 106-4
StreakW2
Win probability — Guardians
Market58.0%
Model56.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).
Model picks
MoneylineGuardians -141NoVig-1.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean
Starting pitchers
Compare starters →ERA
2.95
FIP
2.96
K-BB%
13.1%
IP
85
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 43 | 2.08 | 1.15 | 7.9 | 3.1 | .223 |
| Away | 42 | 3.86 | 1.21 | 8.6 | 3.6 | .222 |
| Night | 42 | 3.67 | 1.20 | 8.4 | 2.8 | .242 |
| vs LHB | 33 | — | 1.33 | 7.9 | 3.8 | .244 |
| vs RHB | 52 | — | 1.10 | 8.5 | 3.1 | .209 |
ERA
3.78
FIP
3.49
K-BB%
25.4%
IP
174
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 101 | 3.04 | 1.07 | 12.6 | 2.9 | .205 |
| Away | 73 | 4.79 | 1.15 | 11.5 | 3.0 | .223 |
| Night | 99 | 4.62 | 1.20 | 11.8 | 3.4 | .223 |
| vs LHB | 107 | — | 0.98 | 12.6 | 2.6 | .191 |
| vs RHB | 66 | — | 1.32 | 11.8 | 3.4 | .246 |
Injuries
White Sox injuriesBrooks Baldwin · LF · Injured 60-Day
Huascar Brazobán · P · Injured 15-Day
Joey Bart · C · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Leasure · P · Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Vasil · P · Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa · P · Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray · LF · Injured 60-Day
Guardians injuriesColin Holderman · P · Injured 15-Day
Rhys Hoskins · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Shawn Armstrong · P · Injured 60-Day