Tigers
Elo 1518 · #10 · 71-80
@
Mon, Sep 14, 6:08 PM CT
Final 6–5
Blue Jays
Elo 1514 · #11 · 76-77
Troy Melton vs José Soriano
Tigers RL
+1.5-178Kalshi
Blue Jays RL
-1.5+170Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5+102NoVig
U 7.5-104Kalshi
Tigers ML
+127NoVig
Blue Jays ML
-127Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
71°F
Cloudy
Wind 2 mph · in from CF (−2)
7 PM
2
8 PM
5
9 PM
7
10 PM
6
Tigers record
Overall72-81 · .471
Home39-36
Away33-45
Last 107-3
StreakL2
Blue Jays record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home40-38
Away36-39
Last 104-6
StreakW1

Win probability — Blue Jays

Market55.8%
Model49.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineTigers +127NoVig+4.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
100
ERA
2.52
FIP
4.03
K-BB%
12.4%
IP
111
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home512.811.118.12.1.233
Away592.281.106.73.3.200
Night672.671.197.63.3.219
vs LHB63—1.236.93.5.226
vs RHB47—0.958.01.9.202
Blue Jays
rating
102
ERA
3.56
FIP
3.83
K-BB%
12.3%
IP
169
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home743.791.199.53.8.213
Away963.391.337.63.9.242
Night1083.581.248.83.9.222
vs LHB96—1.387.44.2.242
vs RHB72—1.159.93.4.212

Injuries

Tigers injuries
Bailey Horn · P · Injured 60-Day
Burch Smith · P · Injured 60-Day
Jack Flaherty · P · Injured 15-Day
Justin Verlander · P · Injured 60-Day
Kerry Carpenter · RF · Injured 10-Day
Matt Vierling · CF · Injured 60-Day
Parker Meadows · CF · Injured 60-Day
Reese Olson · P · Injured 60-Day
Trey Sweeney · SS · Injured 60-Day
Wenceel Pérez · RF · Injured 60-Day
Will Vest · P · Injured 60-Day
Blue Jays injuries
Addison Barger · RF · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Santander · RF · Injured 60-Day
Bowden Francis · P · Injured 60-Day
Cody Ponce · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Bloss · P · Injured 60-Day
Jameson Taillon · P · Injured 15-Day
Jonatan Clase · LF · Injured 60-Day
José Berríos · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Urías · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Patrick Corbin · P · Injured 60-Day
Rudy Martin Jr. · RF · Injured 10-Day
Shane Bieber · P · Injured 15-Day
Trey Yesavage · P · Injured 15-Day
Yimi García · P · Injured 60-Day