Orioles
Elo 1505 · #14 · 75-77
@
Mon, Sep 14, 6:11 PM CT
Final 2–1
Mets
Elo 1498 · #17 · 69-83
Brandon Young vs Jonah Tong
Orioles RL
+1.5-186Kalshi
Mets RL
-1.5+182NoVig
Over / Under
O 7.5-117Kalshi
U 7.5+113Kalshi
Orioles ML
+116ProphetX
Mets ML
-117Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Cloudy
Wind 8 mph · out to CF (+8)
7 PM
8
8 PM
7
9 PM
4
10 PM
4
Orioles record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home36-39
Away39-39
Last 106-4
StreakW3
Mets record
Overall69-84 · .451
Home34-44
Away35-40
Last 104-6
StreakL5

Win probability — Mets

Market53.3%
Model55.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineMets -117Kalshi+0.1% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

rating
92
ERA
3.64
FIP
4.59
K-BB%
10.0%
IP
146
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home803.951.367.73.0.261
Away663.271.396.83.8.254
Night1083.821.347.13.5.251
vs LHB89—1.346.54.5.229
vs RHB57—1.438.61.8.299
Jonah Tong
Mets
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).

Injuries

Orioles injuries
Blaze Alexander · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Christian Franklin · CF · Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby · P · Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista · P · Injured 60-Day
Jackson Holliday · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Westburg · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Keegan Akin · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Bradish · P · Injured 15-Day
Luis Robert Jr. · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Mountcastle · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler O'Neill · RF · Injured 10-Day
Zach Eflin · P · Injured 60-Day
Mets injuries
Cionel Pérez · P · Injured 15-Day
Daniel Duarte · P · Injured 15-Day
Devin Williams · P · Injured 15-Day
Jorge Polanco · DH · Injured 60-Day
Reed Garrett · P · Injured 60-Day
Robert Stock · P · Injured 15-Day
Tylor Megill · P · Injured 60-Day