Will Warren vs Dean Kremer
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Matchup factors
Weather
67°F
Clear
Wind 6 mph · crosswind
7 PM
6
8 PM
1
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Yankees recordOverall88-64 · .579
Home42-32
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1
Twins recordOverall71-82 · .464
Home40-38
Away31-44
Last 103-7
StreakL1
Win probability — Twins
Market46.4%
Model42.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).
Model picks
MoneylineYankees -117Kalshi+1.8% EV
Totalunder 8.5 -109ProphetX · proj 7.27+3.7% EV
Run lineno lean
Starting pitchers
Compare starters →ERA
3.89
FIP
4.10
K-BB%
15.0%
IP
148
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 75 | 3.82 | 1.31 | 10.8 | 2.6 | .259 |
| Away | 73 | 3.96 | 1.40 | 7.1 | 3.6 | .261 |
| Night | 85 | 5.17 | 1.49 | 9.2 | 3.7 | .269 |
| vs LHB | 82 | — | 1.46 | 8.2 | 3.5 | .270 |
| vs RHB | 65 | — | 1.25 | 10.0 | 2.6 | .247 |
ERA
5.36
FIP
5.16
K-BB%
15.0%
IP
77
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 42 | 4.71 | 1.14 | 9.2 | 2.4 | .234 |
| Away | 35 | 6.11 | 1.36 | 7.9 | 3.8 | .250 |
| Night | 60 | 5.25 | 1.25 | 8.8 | 3.3 | .238 |
| vs LHB | 47 | — | 1.31 | 7.9 | 3.5 | .244 |
| vs RHB | 30 | — | 1.17 | 9.9 | 2.4 | .237 |
Injuries
Yankees injuriesFernando Cruz · P · Injured 15-Day
Giancarlo Stanton · DH · Injured 60-Day
Jazz Chisholm Jr. · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Kervin Castro · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Weathers · P · Injured 15-Day
Trent Grisham · CF · Injured 10-Day
Twins injuriesAnthony Banda · P · Injured 60-Day
Byron Buxton · CF · Injured 10-Day
Cole Sands · P · Injured 60-Day
David Festa · P · Injured 60-Day
Kaelen Culpepper · SS · Injured 10-Day
Mick Abel · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Paredes · P · Injured 60-Day
Pablo López · P · Injured 60-Day