Win probability — Packers
Market60.0%
Model51.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
Spreadno lean
MoneylinePackers —
Starting quarterbacks
Caleb Williams
Bears · QBQB Elo
-9
vs avg
Average
Raw value
17.3
Games
17
Jordan Love
Packers · QBQB Elo
+28
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
30.0
Games
37
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.