Cubs
Elo 1559 · #4 · 85-68
@
Mon, Sep 7, 1:11 PM CT
Final 3–4
Brewers
Elo 1594 · #1 · 95-57
Matthew Boyd vs Robert Gasser
Cubs RL
+1.5-186Kalshi
Brewers RL
-1.5+178Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+104Kalshi
U 8.5-104NoVig
Cubs ML
+116ProphetX
Brewers ML
-115NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
64°F
Cloudy
Wind 4 mph · in from CF (−4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
2
9 PM
4
10 PM
4
Cubs record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home45-33
Away40-35
Last 104-6
StreakW1
Brewers record
Overall95-58 · .621
Home52-26
Away43-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1

Win probability — Brewers

Market53.4%
Model55.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBrewers -115NoVig+0.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
97
ERA
4.16
FIP
4.27
K-BB%
11.4%
IP
115
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home545.531.277.42.0.271
Away612.951.216.63.4.228
Night563.511.386.42.7.274
vs LHB32—1.237.44.3.212
vs RHB81—1.277.02.2.261
rating
103
ERA
4.30
FIP
4.15
K-BB%
14.6%
IP
96
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home503.621.238.23.3.231
Away475.011.319.12.5.255
Night653.881.288.32.8.249
vs LHB32—1.019.13.7.170
vs RHB64—1.408.42.5.275

Injuries

Cubs injuries
Ben Brown · P · Injured 60-Day
Cade Horton · P · Injured 60-Day
Dansby Swanson · SS · Injured 10-Day
Gavin Hollowell · P · Injured 15-Day
Hunter Harvey · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Steele · P · Injured 60-Day
Phil Maton · P · Injured 60-Day
Porter Hodge · P · Injured 60-Day
Riley Martin · P · Injured 60-Day
Shelby Miller · P · Injured 60-Day
Trent Thornton · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Austin · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Brewers injuries
Angel Zerpa · P · Injured 60-Day
Brandon Woodruff · P · Injured 60-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick · P · Injured 60-Day
Bryse Wilson · P · Injured 15-Day
Grant Anderson · P · Injured 15-Day
Quinn Priester · P · Injured 60-Day
Rob Zastryzny · P · Injured 60-Day