Twins
Elo 1463 · #27 · 71-81
@
Mon, Sep 7, 2:11 PM CT
Final 4–5
Tigers
Elo 1518 · #10 · 71-80
Joe Ryan vs Troy Melton
Twins RL
+1.5-186Kalshi
Tigers RL
-1.5+178Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5-111NoVig
U 7.5+108Kalshi
Twins ML
+112ProphetX
Tigers ML
-113Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
65°F
Cloudy
Wind 5 mph · crosswind
7 PM
5
8 PM
4
9 PM
4
10 PM
5
Twins record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home40-38
Away31-44
Last 103-7
StreakL1
Tigers record
Overall72-81 · .471
Home39-36
Away33-45
Last 107-3
StreakL2

Win probability — Tigers

Market52.5%
Model53.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineTigers -113Kalshi-0.4% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
119
ERA
3.84
FIP
3.62
K-BB%
20.7%
IP
134
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home693.761.1710.11.6.250
Away643.921.159.52.4.232
Night834.881.299.71.7.272
vs LHB76—1.219.61.7.252
vs RHB57—1.1010.22.4.226
rating
100
ERA
2.52
FIP
4.03
K-BB%
12.4%
IP
111
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home512.811.118.12.1.233
Away592.281.106.73.3.200
Night672.671.197.63.3.219
vs LHB63—1.236.93.5.226
vs RHB47—0.958.01.9.202

Injuries

Twins injuries
Anthony Banda · P · Injured 60-Day
Byron Buxton · CF · Injured 10-Day
Cole Sands · P · Injured 60-Day
David Festa · P · Injured 60-Day
Kaelen Culpepper · SS · Injured 10-Day
Mick Abel · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Paredes · P · Injured 60-Day
Pablo López · P · Injured 60-Day
Tigers injuries
Bailey Horn · P · Injured 60-Day
Burch Smith · P · Injured 60-Day
Jack Flaherty · P · Injured 15-Day
Justin Verlander · P · Injured 60-Day
Kerry Carpenter · RF · Injured 10-Day
Matt Vierling · CF · Injured 60-Day
Parker Meadows · CF · Injured 60-Day
Reese Olson · P · Injured 60-Day
Trey Sweeney · SS · Injured 60-Day
Wenceel Pérez · RF · Injured 60-Day
Will Vest · P · Injured 60-Day